Economy
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On Monday, President Barack Obama proposed a $3.8 trillion budget that would be effective fiscal year 2011. The plan would include big increases in personal and business taxes, as well as modest spending cuts and increases in spending for education, defense and job initiatives.
Discretionary Spending, Tax Increases in the Proposal
In Obama's plan is the idea to cap discretionary spending, which accounts for roughly 17 percent of the total budget. His goal is to narrow the record $1.6 trillion gap between the expenditures in the proposed budget and tax receipts. (Learn about Obama's stimulus plan)
Also, in budget is a plan to increase taxes on upper-income families by nearly $1 trillion dollars. The way he will accomplish this goal is by allowing Bush's tax cuts for these families to expire. In addition, banks, bankers and multinational companies would face new fees and levies. Reports also say that oil companies would lose $39 billion in tax breaks.
The hope is that by making these adjustments, the current deficit would shrink to $727 billion - or 4.2 percent of the gross domestic product - by 2013. However, by reducing the annual deficit, experts say that the federal debt would jump to $8.5 trillion by 2020.
Another Financial Crisis the Result of Obama's New Budget?
Economist Kenneth Rogoff, who was interviewed by the Wall Street Journal, explained that the increased federal debt could result in drastically higher interest rates. In addition, the value of the dollar could plunge, which could cause the economy to face another financial crisis.
As suggested by Rogoff, in order to keep the government at a reasonable federal debt, the president would need to cut some domestic programs and large tax increases - basically, the opposite of what he's doing now.
The idea is that he may be trying to fix the short-term problems, but all of the spending may in essence create long-term issues.
A new government report shows that the U.S. economy grew at the fastest pace in more than six years during the fourth quarter of 2009. The report, which was released on Friday, revealed more specifically that the national gross domestic product rose at a 5.7 percent annual rate. This is much stronger than expected and may be a sign that the economy just may be recovering.
Why the Improvement?
Economists had predicted growth, but not as much as we saw in the fourth quarter. According to a survey from Briefing.com, economists had forecast growth of 4.7 percent. With the economy only rising at a 2.2 percent annual pace in the third quarter of last year, what could have caused the growth?
Some say the improvement was driven by a turnaround in inventories - the supply of goods businesses produce when anticipating sales.
At the end of 2008 and early 2009, many businesses slashed their inventories in fear of the economic conditions. However, according to Friday's report, the inventory increased drastically in last year's fourth quarter, mostly in the auto industry.
Does This Mean the Economy's Improving?
So does this shift in economic growth mean that the economy is improving? Well, not exactly. While inventory is up, personal consumption hasn't grown as much - two percent to be exact.In other words, companies feel comfortable enough to increase their goods but consumers don't feel comfortable enough to buy it.
Since consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of economic activity, it's safe to say that the growth of the economy is probably more of a numbers game at this point than a reality.
Have you increased your personal consumption in the last few months?
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