Why Gold Isn’t Such a Great Investment

Posted in Investments • October 25, 2010

investing-in-gold

Investors who’ve had their confidence in the stock market rocked over the past few years have been flying to gold. With skyrocketing gold prices reaching new heights seemingly each day, it’s hard to tell whether investors are simply along for the ride or if they’re the ones pushing it up.

Regardless, if you got into gold early, then good for you. There’s no such thing as cheap gold anymore. With an ounce of gold priced at well over $1,300, latecomers to the new gold rush need to seriously consider whether or not the precious metal is a sound investment. When it comes to money, those who are late to the party are usually the ones left holding the bag.

How to Buy Gold

There are several different options when buying gold. If you’re rich enough and have the space, you can buy actual physical gold bars and coins that you can store in a vault. Most people, however, can buy gold ETFs, certificates or stocks in mining companies to play the market trend, too.

Many affluent investors may feel safer owning ridiculous amounts of physical gold just in case the world ends tomorrow and the world’s financial system collapses. What they fail to consider is, if in fact that were to happen and society fell into utter chaos and anarchy, what good would their gold do them? What they should be investing in–for that scenario, anyway–is guns and food.

Gold as an Inflation Hedge

The biggest reason investors are flocking to gold is because of the supposedly inevitable hyperinflation sure to destroy the value of the dollar. While the government’s deficit spending is a cause for concern, most economists argue that the near-term risks of inflation are way overblown.

The deflationary forces are pulling just as hard as the inflationary pressures on the economy, creating a very delicate balance at the moment. The job of the U.S. Federal Reserve is to maintain that balance through using the tools available to them.

Regardless, even if you were to invest in an inflation hedge, gold may not even be the best way to do it. There’s a common misconception that gold is the perfect investment to counter inflation. That isn’t necessarily true. Gold, like any commodity–be it precious metals, oil, corn, etc.–increases in value if the value of the dollar goes down. However, with prices so high, gold as an investment may have crossed the threshold as more speculation than actual hedging strategy.

Other Investments that Hedge Inflation

In fact, if inflation is what you’re worried about, here are several ways you could better invest your money:

  • Stocks: They’re often overlooked as a way to combat inflation, but if the value of the dollar is falling, then prices for goods increase. This, in turn, drives up profits for public companies.
  • TIPS: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are government-backed bonds that protect investors from a drop in the dollar. As inflation rises, so does the rate of the semi-annual interest payments made by the security. There are disadvantages, however, because inflation adjustments are considered taxable income. However, gold investors run into the same problem.
  • Other Commodities: Precious metals like silver and copper and other commodities like oil and corn actually serve a purpose. Gold, on the other hand, is only valuable because of its scarcity. When you have an asset that is only worth as much as someone else is willing to pay for it, and it has no real practical use, you open yourself to being very vulnerable to price volatility.

Real estate is another asset that investors move toward during times of inflationary risks, but the effectiveness of land as a hedge is debatable.

Gold: Good or Bad Investment?

Gold isn’t necessarily a bad investment–it hedges against inflation and there’s demand for it. The problem with gold right now is that it’s a borderline bubble and if you’re getting in late, you could end up just like those homeowners who thought house prices would always go up. On the other hand, could gold go up even more? Absolutely.

The important takeaway here is to understand that gold is one of many types of investments. It has it’s advantages and disadvantages and unless you want to open yourself to suffering dramatic swings–which gold is wont to do–it’s better to just keep a diversified portfolio.

For example, even if you diversify all your investments into inflation-proof assets, you could get hammered if deflation trends end up gaining momentum. If you’re just looking to protect your investments, spread out your risks and exposures. If you’re looking to get rich off gold, then well, you better understand what exactly you’re getting yourself into and what the possible consequences.

What are your thoughts on gold?

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We would love to hear your comments and feedback

  • bozo

    Dude,

    You’re like 12! Tell me something besides the overused cliche that gold is a bubble.

  • John

    Housing was never used for currency… Gold and Silver have been used as a Standard for the Global Economic Currency System since the beginning of time. The debate with Gold and Silver is used in the context of it being used as a ” Global Currency Standard”!

  • Anonymous

    It’s not so much that gold is expensive, it’s that paper dollars are that much more worthless.

  • Anonymous

    For years gold has been a store of value and a way to protect your wealth. It has also been a hedge against a declining US dollar. Gold has a value every minute of the day all around the world. For the last 9 years, it has protected the wealth of investors worldwide, despite the fact that we have seen financial turmoil on an unprecedented scale as well as huge currency devaluations. This is the plain simple universal truth no matter what.
    There is resurgence in the role gold plays as a global currency. This stems from a general mistrust of the current global financial and currency situation.
    When the time comes you’ll have no problem cashing in your gold for fiat money, but you may have no takers of fiat money for gold.
    Follow the Gold market at coininfo.com

  • robert M.

    Gold is the oldest money of all money that has been used long before any other
    currencies.

  • robert M.

    All fiat currencies have ended in complete devaluation – the Feds’ FRN has devalued 96% in value since it’s introduction in 1913.

  • hobo

    Gold is the measure of value of the dollar, not the dollar’s value of gold. Gold is the ONLY money that doesn’t have a counterparty risk.

  • Doug Eberhardt

    Henry, you said that gold “is only valuable because of its scarcity.” Naturally you understand the importance of gold from a historical basis as money. It has only been 39 years since the Federal Reserve Notes have been detached from gold. For 9 years of that time gold soared as people lost faith in the detachment quickly and ran to gold. Of course people couldn’t actually buy more than $100 worth of gold until 1975. After Volcker came in and raised interest rates, people left gold until 2000. There really was no competition to the U.S. dollar until that time. But then the Euro entered the picture. Now there was competition and the weakness in the dollar was good for gold. Then more people could buy gold via ETFs. Then the Euro started to falter with the Greece and other PIIGS problems. All of a sudden, unlike 1980, the world was rushing to gold.

    Gold also does well in deflation as its purchasing power increases; See; What Does the Price of Gold Do In Deflation? http://buygoldandsilversafely.com/gold/what-does-the-price-of-gold-do-in-deflation/

    TIPS are tied to the government CPI and aren’t giving a true indication of inflation.
    Stocks haven’t done much the last 10 years and when you take into account the fall in the U.S. dollar, have stayed flat even with the paltry amount of dividends they are paying these days.
    Other commodities, outside of silver, are not viewed as money, but can keep pace somewhat with the fall of the dollar.
    Real Estate? this shouldn’t even be considered an asset per se. While REIT’s have been paying a hefty dividend, many are in trouble as the underlying assets are crumbling. Like Japan, real estate can fall a lot longer than people expect.

    I’ll be happy to send you a free copy of my book; “Buy Gold and Silver Safely” if you are interested.

  • Lost integrity

    Stop worrying about the price of gold and start worrying about this…

    America on Sale, From Matt Taibbi’s ‘Griftopia’

    And America is taking Daley’s advice. At this writing Nashville and Pittsburgh are speeding ahead with their own parking meter deals, as is L.A. New York has considered it, and the city of Miami just announced its own plans for a leasing deal. There are now highways, airports, parking garages, toll roads — almost everything you can think of that isn’t nailed down and some things that are — for sale, to bidders unknown, around the world.

    The reason these lease deals happen is the same reason the investment banks made bad investments in mortgage-backed crap that was sure to blow up later, but provided big bonuses today — because the politicians making these deals, the Rendells and Daleys, are going to be long gone into retirement by the time the real bill comes due.

    http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/17390/222206?RS_show_page=0

  • Anonymous

    Guarantee Henry Truc was not smart enough to buy at 258.00,350.00, 400.00 or even 500.00
    an ounce.
    Henry please feel free to share your expertise again when Gold hits 1500.00 an ounce.

  • Anonymous

    Henry
    You were taught wrong.
    Invest in a lawyer and sue your professor.

  • Henry Truc

    Thank you for actually providing a valid comment, Doug. I appreciate that you actually read the article to form your discussion points, instead of just reacting to the headline like some of the other commenters.

    The case for gold purchasing power increasing during deflation is that the Fed will try to use inflation to counter it, thus making gold more favorable. In that case, it’s still inflationary factors pushing up the price of gold.

  • Henry Truc

    I’m sure real estate speculators felt the same way about the housing market prior to, oh…let’s say 2007?

    Just to be clear, I never said gold was a bad investment. In fact, I even said that in the article.

  • turtle995

    Very good. Your brainwashing by the government and central bankers has been effective. Keep putting all your money in fraudulent stocks and derivatives and bonds with inflated credit ratings, while the rest of us put our money in something that has never gone to zero. Now take your place at the foot of the Central Banks and purr like a good little kitty..

  • JT

    Henry is correct. It’s not a great investment.

    But why hold gold anyways? I leave you with this quote :-)

    “There are about three hundred economists in the world who are against gold, and they think that gold is a barbarous relic – and they might be right. Unfortunately, there are three billion inhabitants of the world who believe in gold.”
    - Janos Fekete

  • Pingback: How to Invest in Gold – Trading Gold Guide

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