Airfare Could Drop 25% in August — Time To Make Travel Plans?

Young woman checking her train in time board.
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Airfares may be set to drop to 2019 levels, according to the third-quarter travel index from Hopper. The online booking platform reported that the average domestic airfare is set to drop to $286 round-trip later in August, down more than 25% from May 2022. In the spring, peak average prices rose as high as $400, Forbes reported.

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This decrease follows a busy summer travel season, where nearly 81% of U.S. adults said they had travel plans for the summer, according to a travel survey from The Vacationer. What’s more, almost 45% said they’d travel more this summer than they traveled last summmer, when pandemic concerns continued to hamper travel plans.

Airfares typically drop 10% to 15% between late August and early October, when kids begin returning to school and the summer travel season winds down, according to Forbes. But this year’s plunge is deeper than usual, in large part because fares were higher than normal in May through July.

Forbes deemed the steep drop a “market correction.” Hayley Berg, lead economist at Hopper and author of the Hopper report, wrote, “Prices this summer were elevated beyond normal seasonal airfare increases by high jet fuel prices and pent-up demand coming out of two depressed summer seasons.”

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Reduced passenger seating capacity — a response to flight delays and disruptions airlines hoped would let them better serve customers on remaining routes — also drove prices up, the report said.

Berg added that traveler demand also peaked earlier in the summer than usual, causing airlines to reduce prices in August and September to entice travelers.

Prices are expected to rise again in October and November, and the average fare could reach as high as $390 in mid-to-late December as travelers plan visits during what everyone hopes will be a normal holiday season.

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Bottom line: If you skipped your summer vacation this year due to rising fuel costs, inflation or any other reason, there’s still time to book a flight for your favorite destination or plan a new adventure. But don’t wait too long, or you could miss the boat — er, plane.

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About the Author

Dawn Allcot is a full-time freelance writer and content marketing specialist who geeks out about finance, e-commerce, technology, and real estate. Her lengthy list of publishing credits include Bankrate, Lending Tree, and Chase Bank. She is the founder and owner of GeekTravelGuide.net, a travel, technology, and entertainment website. She lives on Long Island, New York, with a veritable menagerie that includes 2 cats, a rambunctious kitten, and three lizards of varying sizes and personalities – plus her two kids and husband. Find her on Twitter, @DawnAllcot.
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