Yellen Says She Was Wrong About the ‘Path That Inflation Would Take’

Mandatory Credit: Photo by SASCHA STEINBACH/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock (12946325c)US Minister of Finance Janet Yellen arrives for the G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meetings in Koenigswinter, near Bonn, Germany, 19 May 2022.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded that she has been wrong about inflation and failed to anticipate how long it would last. Her comments come against the backdrop of soaring gas and food prices.

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In an interview with CNN on May 31, Yellen said:

“I think I was wrong then about the path that inflation would take.”

“As I mentioned, there have been unanticipated and large shocks to the economy that have boosted energy and food prices and supply bottlenecks that have affected our economy badly that I didn’t — at the time — didn’t fully understand, but we recognize that now,” she continued.

The comments came on the same day President Joe Biden held a meeting with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Yellen to address the four-decade high inflation.

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Prior to the meeting, Biden issued a statement on the White House website about his plan to address inflation. 

“It starts with a simple proposition: Respect the Fed and respect the Fed’s independence, which I have done and will continue to do,” he said. “The Fed has dual responsibilities: One, full employment.  Two, stable prices. Chair Powell and other leaders of the Fed have noted, at this moment, they have a laser focus on addressing inflation, just like I am. And with a larger complement of board members now confirmed, I know we’ll use those tools of monetary policy to address the rising prices for the American people.”

On May 27, the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) showed that it had increased 6.3% in April from one year ago, reflecting increases in both goods and services, with energy prices increasing a staggering 30.4% and food prices increasing 10%.

Speaking at a press conference following the meeting, Brian Deese, Director of the National Economic Council, who also attended, said that there was “uncertainty” as to how long inflation will last.

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“I will leave the predictions to forecasters.  I think you and others have seen most major forecasters out there and their projections, most projecting that we will see moderation in inflation over the course of the year.”

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About the Author

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy is a full-time financial journalist and has written for several publications, including Dow Jones, The Financial Times Group, Bloomberg and Business Insider. She also worked as a vice president/senior content writer for major NYC-based financial companies, including New York Life and MSCI. Yaël is now freelancing and most recently, she co-authored  the book “Blockchain for Medical Research: Accelerating Trust in Healthcare,” with Dr. Sean Manion. (CRC Press, April 2020) She holds two master’s degrees, including one in Journalism from New York University and one in Russian Studies from Université Toulouse-Jean Jaurès, France.
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