The Economy Is at Its Lowest Point Since World War II in Final GDP Report from Trump’s Presidency
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported the GDP numbers for U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter of 2020, which grew at an annualized rate of 4%.
The figure slightly misses the mark as the consensus was that the GDP data was expected to show the U.S. economy grew at a 4.3% pace from the previous quarter on an annualized basis, according to the Wall Street Journal.
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GDP measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States and is a “comprehensive measure of U.S. economic activity,” according to the BEA.
BREAKING: In 2020, US growth declined -3.5% — the worst since 1946.
**The US is still far below where it was pre-crisis**
Q4 2020 GDP: $18.8 trillion
Q4 2019 GDP: $19.3T
In Q4, the US economy grew at a 4.0% pace (annualized) as the nation struggled to contain the virus.
— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) January 28, 2021
“The increase in fourth quarter GDP reflected both the continued economic recovery from the sharp declines earlier in the year and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including new restrictions and closures that took effect in some areas of the United States,” according to a BEA statement.
This follows GDP having increased at an annual rate of 33.4% in the third quarter of 2020, an increase reflecting the continued efforts to reopen businesses and resume activities that were postponed or restricted due to COVID-19, according to the BEA. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 31.4%.
In 2020, real GDP decreased 3.5% in 2020 from the 2019 annual level, compared with an increase of 2.2% in 2019. Following this final GDP report reflecting Donald Trump’s tenure, the Washington Post reports that the overall losses and slow growths, when there were any, made 2020 “the worst year for economic growth since the Second World War.”
#GDP +4.0% (annualized) in Q4
– consumer spending cooler +2.5%
– business investment firm +13.8%
– residential invest strong +33.5%
– inventories boost +1ppt
– net trade -1.5ppt w/ exports +22% & imports +29.5%
– gov spend -1.2% pic.twitter.com/KcAsFhRLG4
— Gregory Daco (@GregDaco) January 28, 2021
“The decrease in real GDP in 2020 reflected decreases in PCE (personal consumption expenditures), exports, private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and state and local government that were partly offset by increases in federal government spending and residential fixed investment,” according to a BEA statement.
The BEA also notes that the decrease in PCE in 2020 was more than accounted for by a decrease in services, led by food services and accommodations, health care, and recreation services. In addition, the decrease in exports reflected decreases in both services –led by travel– and goods.
The BEA adds that the increase in federal government spending reflected “an increase in nondefense consumption expenditures, led by an increase in purchases of intermediate services that supported the processing and administration of Paycheck Protection Program loan applications by banks on behalf of the federal government.”
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