Record Number of Millionaires Betting Against Stock Market in 2023 — Here’s Why

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Millionaire investors are predicting that stocks will fall in 2023 — and substantially. According to the CNBC Millionaire Survey, which consulted investors with $1 million or more in investable assets, 56% of millionaire investors anticipate that the S&P 500 will decline by 10% in the new year and nearly a third anticipate slippage of more than 15%.

See: How High Will Interest Rates Go in 2023?
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Millionaires haven’t been this bearish about the economy since 2008, during the height of the Great Recession. So what’s driving them to be so pessimistic?

Inflation

Inflation has been unstoppable in 2022, and will continue to be a force to be reckoned with in 2023. Indeed inflation has been so untenable that it’s even got millionaires in a tizzy over whether they will have enough to retire.

Rising Interest Rates

On Dec. 14, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates yet again by half a percentage point. Rising interest rates (along with inflation) have some millionaires delaying big purchases including homes and cars.

Looming Recession

Fears over a long talked about recession are also at play. Typically when a recession is on the horizon, the stock market spirals, as it has been doing for much of 2022.

Building Wealth

Explore: 5 Reasons To Expect an Economic Recession in 2023
Find: Will House Prices Go Down in 2023?

Interestingly, there does appear to be an optimism gap here, tied to age. In other words, younger people seem to have a rosier outlook on what the economy holds in 2023.

The CNBC survey found that 81% of millennial millionaires expect their assets to be greater at the end of next year, with nearly half (46%) anticipating their assets to be up 10% or more. Meanwhile, 61% of baby boomer millionaires expect their assets to be lower or “much lower” in 2023. Additionally, more than half of millennial millionaires said the S&P 500 will be up 10% or more in the new year.

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About the Author

Nicole Spector is a writer, editor, and author based in Los Angeles by way of Brooklyn. Her work has appeared in Vogue, the Atlantic, Vice, and The New Yorker. She's a frequent contributor to NBC News and Publishers Weekly. Her 2013 debut novel, "Fifty Shades of Dorian Gray" received laudatory blurbs from the likes of Fred Armisen and Ken Kalfus, and was published in the US, UK, France, and Russia — though nobody knows whatever happened with the Russian edition! She has an affinity for Twitter.
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