How Much Is Carvana Worth Now? Demand for Used Cars Boom

TEMPE, AZ/USA - APRIL 10, 2019: Carvana automobile dealership vending machine.
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Investors use various metrics to value companies, but in terms of market capitalization — which is one of the most popular –, Carvana has absolutely exploded. With its market capitalization recently topping $31 billion, Carvana has seen a tremendous jump in its market valuation. Yet, investors could still buy into the company for under $200 per share as of early November.

Carvana’s purpose is to change the way people buy and sell cars by taking the process online and making it easier. Thanks to companies like Carvana, the idea of making a large purchase like a car online — once considered unfathomable — has been normalized.

Coupled with the boom in demand for used cars, Carvana has seen a spectacular rise in its stock price in 2020.

To see how much the company is worth, take a look at this snapshot of the current state of Carvana, along with a discussion of its history, value and future outlook.

Carvana: Company Snapshot
Headquarters Phoenix, Ariz.
Year Founded 2012
Founders Ernie Garcia III, Ben Huston, Ryan Keeton
CEO Ernie Garcia III

How Much Is Carvana Worth Now?

Over the past 52 weeks, Carvana’s share price has exploded. From a 52-week low of $22.16, Carvana’s share price reached over $242 during the same period. As of the close of business on Nov. 2, its value had climbed to over $31 billion. But what does it mean to say a company “is valued” at over $31 billion? Market pundits use market capitalization to determine how much a company is worth.

Carvana Market Cap Range

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Carvana’s market cap varies from moment to moment based primarily on its share price. Although an increase in outstanding shares could also increase its market cap, that type of change occurs far less frequently than a change in share price, which can occur in less than one second. Here is Carvana’s share price range over the past 52 weeks:

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Share price: $22.16 – $242.15

As a result, Carvana’s market cap over that same period has also fluctuated in this range:

Market cap range: $3,781,268,387 – $41,319,230,138

Thus, the ups and downs of Carvana’s share price can result in a wide valuation range for the company.

What Is Market Capitalization?

Market capitalization is simply the number of outstanding stock shares a company has issued times its current market price. So, for example, if a company has issued 1 million shares of stock and its share price is $50, the company has a market capitalization of $50 million. Carvana currently has 170.63 million shares outstanding, so 170.63 million times the closing stock price of $185.01 on Nov. 2 equals about $31.57 billion.

Market cap does have its drawbacks as an evaluation method, however. For starters, market cap changes frequently, and it’s closely tied to the company’s current share price. It doesn’t take into account any of the direct financial metrics of the company, such as earnings per share, growth rate or book value.

By way of comparison, the price/earnings ratio, which is another popular valuation method, is also closely tied to a company’s market share price. The P/E ratio also relies heavily on a company’s earnings, which some investors feel is a more important determinant of a company’s valuation.

Calculating Carvana’s Net Worth

In its simplest form, net worth is simply a company’s assets minus its liabilities. By this metric, Carvana’s net worth as of the quarter ending June 30, 2020, was $425.96 million.

What Is Carvana Worth Now?
Share Price, 52-week range $22.16-$242.15
Market Cap, 52-week range $3,781,268,387-$41,319,230,138
Fiscal Year 2019 Revenue $3,939,896,000
Fiscal Year 2019 Profit $-114,659,000
GOBankingRates’ Evaluation of Carvana Net Worth $835,524,167

Of course, methods of determining the value of a company are wide and varied, each with its own merits and blind spots.

GOBankingRates uses company data to calculate net worth in a slightly different manner. The GOBankingRates company net worth is a calculation of a company’s worth based solely on concrete, measurable figures like assets and revenue. It’s a more conservative valuation than most, taking into account only full-year profits and revenue from the last three years and the company’s assets and debts.

By this GOBankingRates metric, Carvana’s net worth is currently $835,524,167.

    Founders: Ernie Garcia III, Ben Huston, Ryan Keeton

    Carvana’s CEO, president and chairman, Ernie Garcia III, got the idea for Carvana while working for his father’s company, DriveTime. The idea came from wholesale car auctions, which take about 30 seconds and offer a return policy. Garcia III thought that retail customers would much prefer that type of car-buying experience rather than the traditional, four-plus-hour negotiation process with a traditional dealer. This Carvana founder’s net worth is currently $5.2 billion, reported Forbes.

    Ben Huston co-founded Carvana and has served the company as its chief operating officer ever since. Ryan Keeton is Carvana’s chief brand officer — a role he has filled since helping co-found the company in 2012.

    Key Product Lines Contributing To Revenue

    Carvana has one primary focus as a company, and that is to disrupt the automotive sales industry through the application of technology. Carvana’s goal is to provide a seamless, online auto-buying experience for its customers.

    In addition to earning money from automotive sales and purchases, Carvana generates revenue from vehicle financing.

    Here are some of the earnings highlights from Carvana’s second quarter ending June 30:

    • Retail unit sales jumped 25%, to 55,098
    • Revenue grew 13%, to $1.118 billion
    • Total gross profit rose 9%, to $150 million
    • Gross profit per unit was $2,726, which was a decrease of $406

    For the company’s most recent year end, Dec. 31, 2019, the company reported annual revenue of $3.94 billion.

    Current Top Shareholders

    The top 10 shareholders of Carvana stock are all asset managers or mutual fund companies. As a group, institutional and mutual fund shareholders own a whopping 118.4% of all Carvana shares. Individual holders only own 13.13% of Carvana stock. Here’s what the top shareholders list looks like:

    Top 10 Carvana Shareholders

    1. T. Rowe Price Associates, 14.09% of shares
    2. Fidelity Management & Research Co., 13.45% of shares
    3. Morgan Stanley Investment Management, 12.19% of shares
    4. Tiger Global Management LLC, 8.66% of shares
    5. The Vanguard Group, 8.46% of shares
    6. Spruce House Investment Management, 6.23% of shares
    7. CAS Investment Partners LLC, 4.86% of shares
    8. BlackRock Fund Advisors, 3.19% of shares
    9. Whale Rock Capital Management LLC, 2.88% of shares
    10. D.E. Shaw & Co. LP, 2.66% of shares

    All of these shareholders may change their level of investment at any time — even dropping it down to 0%. But since Carvana is currently such a popular company, these percentages might not change by a great amount. This lack of change is particularly true for the index funds on the list, as by fund mandate, they are required to match the company’s weighting in their respective index.

    How Does the Future Look for Carvana?

    It’s hard to argue that Carvana has grown tremendously over the past few years and is a Wall Street darling, even if it’s not yet profitable. The company is well-positioned to grow. Carvana has also become user-friendly for mobile users, as consumers are becoming more comfortable with online transactions.

    Outlook

    Judging by recent trends, the future seems to look rosy for Carvana. Although the company suffered some COVID-related disruptions early in 2020, April sales began to rebound, with year-over-year sales growth of 40% that continued through July.

    According to Carvana, 86% of customer purchases involve online research, 61% of consumers surveyed would consider buying a car online, and 52% test drive only one vehicle. All of these trends bode well for Carvana’s future.

    Wall Street analysts tend to agree, with the average rating among 12 analysts covering the stock being “buy.” The current average price target among these analysts is $235.24, roughly 16% above where the stock was trading in late October 2020.

    Is Carvana Worth the Money?

    Carvana seems like a good bet as part of a diversified portfolio, but only if you have a high risk tolerance. The company has benefited from market trends, but it has yet to report a profit, and its stock has already seen a tremendous surge. Wall Street analysts do tout the stock as a buy, targeting 12-month price gains in the double digits.

    Investing in a specific stock involves much more than analyzing the profitability of a given company. Your financial situation plays a large part in determining whether or not you should invest in stocks at all — let alone invest in a specific stock like Carvana.

    Working with a fiduciary financial advisor is a good way to delineate your investment objectives, risk tolerance and personal financial situation to determine if investing in stocks is a good match for you.

    Our in-house research team and on-site financial experts work together to create content that’s accurate, impartial, and up to date. We fact-check every single statistic, quote and fact using trusted primary resources to make sure the information we provide is correct. You can learn more about GOBankingRates’ processes and standards in our editorial policy.

    About the Author

    After earning a B.A. in English with a Specialization in Business from UCLA, John Csiszar worked in the financial services industry as a registered representative for 18 years. Along the way, Csiszar earned both Certified Financial Planner and Registered Investment Adviser designations, in addition to being licensed as a life agent, while working for both a major Wall Street wirehouse and for his own investment advisory firm. During his time as an advisor, Csiszar managed over $100 million in client assets while providing individualized investment plans for hundreds of clients.